Naples Property Preview Blog

 

April 1, 2024

Rising Inventory and Competitive Pricing are Favorable for Home Sales

Naples, Fla. (March 29, 2024) – The overall median closed price in Naples increased 5 percent to $625,000 in February from $595,188 in February 2023, but there were also 2,264 price decreases reported. Brokers contend that price decreases may be one indication that sellers are shifting from aspirational pricing to realistic market pricing. According to the February 2024 Market Report by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), closed sales decreased 9.3 percent in February despite a 66.6 percent increase in inventory to 5,139 properties from 3,085 properties in February 2023.

 

Rising Inventory Brings Patience

February’s price decreases demonstrate that REALTORS® are counseling sellers about realistic market pricing. Although some sellers are still struggling to accept the fact that the pandemic buying frenzy years with climbing price increases are over. As more new sellers enter the market (up 24.6 percent to 1,668 new listings from 1,336 new listings in February 2023), those sellers with overpriced properties risk missing an opportunity to attract and sell to eager buyers.

According to the report, in February 2019 the median closed price was $335,000. Cindy Carroll of Carroll & Carroll Appraisers & Consultants, LLC., and broker analysts like Budge Huskey, CEO, Premier Sotheby’s International Realty, agree that “in the face of far more inventory and opportunity, home values are holding steady in Naples today. People are being highly selective and will wait until they find the right property.”

“There are currently two types of sellers: those who need to sell, and those that are aspirational,” said Adam Vellano, Managing Director of South and Southwest Florida at Compass Florida. “If sellers were to get aggressive, then we might begin to see some price compression.”

Jillian Young, President, Premiere Plus Realty, added that “listing agreements that limit terms to three or even six months and reflect aspirational home prices are impeding sales. A deep dive into NABOR®’s market stats show us that these properties remain unsold longer and, in some cases, take two or three agent cycles to finally convince the seller that the home is overpriced for today’s market. This factor is also causing our days on market [DOM] to increase.”

Insurance vs. Interest Rates

The February Market Report showed a 103.4 percent increase in inventory for properties under $300,000. Mike Hughes, Vice President and General Manager for Downing-Frye Realty, Inc., said that this might be because “investors are offloading rental property units to capitalize on the winter selling season. Also, the carrying costs on some of these properties has climbed in recent years. This increase in inventory, for buyers looking in this price range, is encouraging as their selection was quite limited a year ago.”

Vellano believes “property insurance rates are influencing home buying decisions as much as interest rates.”

As many Naples residents are discovering, when home values increase, the replacement cost to insure them also increases. Insurance rates and association fees could increase for condominium owners by the end of 2024 as mandatory milestone inspections must be completed by year end. Inventory for condominiums increased 104.2 percent in February to 2,614 condominiums from 1,280 condominiums in February 2023.

Dominic Pallini, Broker at Vanderbilt Realty, Inc., said the shock of rising interest rates has subsided and regardless of Federal Reserve promises to drop the rate later this year “new homeowners are showing acceptance of 6.5 or 7 percent interest rates.”

The NABOR® February 2024 Market Report provides comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings for 2024:

 

Market Report Standouts

Upon observation, the February Market Report shows median closed price decreased for condominiums located in the Naples Beach (34102, 34103, 34108); Central Naples (34104, 34105, 34116); and Immokalee/Ave Maria areas. And the area with most closed sales of single family homes in February was East Naples (34114, 34117, 34120 and 34137), which also reported the highest inventory of available properties (1,125).

While February’s report showed an average of 69 days on market, it is nowhere near the 101 DOM reported in February 2019. Interestingly, average days on market during February was highest in the $5 million and over condominium market (99 DOM). According to Carroll, months of inventory for neighborhoods west of US 41 tend to be higher as these communities are oversaturated with spec homes and aspirational sellers. “Inventory of homes in Aqualane Shores is 3.5 years; and in Port Royal is 2.9 years.”

Broker analysts reviewing the report recommend that homebuyers discuss getting a prelisting appraisal with their REALTOR® so they can compare prices of homes currently listed along with a comparison of recently sold properties to help them determine a realistic market price. This offers the advantage of positioning their listing price accurately to sell successfully.

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
March 3, 2024

January Market Report Shows Very Suitable Climate for Seasonal Sales

Naples, Fla. (March 1, 2024) – Data in the January 2024 Market Report showed invigorated confidence in the Naples area housing market for both sellers and buyers. Overall inventory continued to climb for the sixth straight month resulting in a 58.8 percent increase in homes for sale in January or 4,639 properties from 2,921 in January 2023. Fueled by a 29.1 percent increase in new listings year over year, January showings doubled compared to showings reported in December 2023. The first month of the year also saw serious sellers taking action to capture increased buyer attention with 1,804 price decreases, a 122.7 percent increase compared to December’s 810 price decreases.

“I’m getting more requests for pre-listing appraisals,” said Cindy Carroll of Carroll & Carroll Appraisers & Consultants, LLC. “This indicates to me that new sellers are taking their REALTOR®’s advice to heart and doing the work necessary to determine the value of their home in today’s market.”

The report showed 6.4 months of inventory for January compared to .9 months of inventory in January 2022, when frenzied pandemic buying began to simmer. Brokers reviewing the report said buyer intent has shifted from pandemic years of “I want a home in Naples,” to a more sensible climate today of “I want the right home in Naples.”

With more competition, brokers agree that REALTORS® who represent a buyer or seller must look at hyper-local factors such as location within a neighborhood, competition within each price range, and extenuating factors that may influence insurance coverage and affordability such as the age of the home or claim history. Additional factors that may influence list price include mortgage rates, association fees, potential or planned future assessments, ongoing maintenance and building repairs (common for condominiums) or repairs necessary to meet new building codes and flood/storm management requirements.

While pending sales in January decreased 7.5 percent to 1,010 pending sales from 1,092 pending sales in January 2023, pending sales activity for January increased 73.2 percent compared to pending sales activity reported in December 2023 (583).

“Days on market will continue to climb,” said Jillian Young, President, Premiere Plus Realty. “There are buyers who purchased a home impulsively during the pandemic and now they are rethinking their decision. And because a lot of them are second-home buyers, they aren’t motivated in a way typical of other sellers, so they’ve been less likely to adjust their list prices or negotiate.”

Budge Huskey, CEO, Premier Sotheby’s International Realty, responded to Young’s comments by stating, “We are in the type of market today that will differentiate between those who are realistic about selling and those who are still dabbling based on past perceptions.”

The NABOR® January 2024 Market Report provides comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings for 2024:

The January 2024 Market Report also showed that average sales prices decreased 7.8 percent compared to January 2023, partially attributable to the slower pace of luxury sales. “We will not witness a significant reduction in values this year overall,” said Huskey. “But the increased inventory is motivating sellers to pay more attention to pricing the home competitively for today’s market and buyer. Values increased approximately 60 percent over the last three and a half years in our market so if a small amount is given back, most sellers will still enjoy a very healthy profit at time of sale.”

First-time homebuyers and those seeking homes under $500,000 will be pleased to hear that inventory in this price range increased 58.6 percent in January. In fact, inventory for condominiums priced under $300,000 increased 112 percent during the month. Notwithstanding, and because Naples is paradise, inventory for condominiums over $5 million increased 182.6 percent in January.

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
Feb. 1, 2024

December Market Report: Home Inventory is Rising

Naples, Fla. (January 30, 2023) – According to the December 2023 Market Report by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), overall inventory increased 45.9 percent to 3,949 properties from 2,706 properties in December 2022. The report showed consistent monthly increases in inventory during the year, which means more options for buyers in 2024; especially in the condominium market, which reported a 78.7 percent increase in inventory. However, according to broker analysts reviewing the December report, the housing market faced several challenges in 2023: rising interest rates, rising insurance rates, and rising inflation. Brokers also point to increased personal travel in 2023 as another reason home sales lagged in 2023. As a result, closed sales in 2023 decreased 13.6 percent to 8,816 closed sales from 10,206 closed sales in 2022.

Despite the challenges, there were seven months in 2023 when new listings increased more than new listings reported in comparative months in 2022. For December, new listings increased 12.1 percent to 892 new listings from 796 new listings in December 2022. Interestingly, unlike other industries that experience a reduction in price when supply increases, the Naples area housing market enjoyed a 9.7 percent increase in overall median closed price in December to $631,000 from $575,000 in December 2022. In comparison, according to the National Association of Realtors, the median existing-home price in the U.S. increased 4.4 percent in December to $382,000 from $366,000 in December 2022.

“Migration is booming in eastern Collier County,” said Cindy Carroll, of Carroll & Carroll Appraisers & Consultants, LLC, who added that it is one of the “last vestiges of affordable housing in our county”. Not surprising, in 2023, the Immokalee/Ave Maria area was the only geographic area tracked by NABOR® that reported an increase in single family home closed sales (+34.1 percent). Conversely, the report indicated a 24.8 percent decrease in closed sales for single family homes nearest the beach.

“The total cost of homeownership includes a lot more than just the home price,” quipped Jeff Jones, Broker at Keller Williams Naples. “Depending on the type and location of the property, a buyer will appreciate the benefit of working with an experienced local REALTOR® because they can help determine various contributing costs like property and flood insurance, association fees, and potential future assessments or property value adjustments when planned infrastructure projects like road expansions, rezoning, and storm water improvements happen.”

On reviewing the report, Adam Vellano, Managing Director of South and Southwest Florida at Compass Florida, said, “One big reason we didn’t outperform last year’s sales is because buyers who had plans to eventually relocate to Florida moved up their timeline. The pandemic convinced a lot of people to buy sooner so the high sales numbers we enjoyed in 2021 and 2022 were stolen sales from what would have taken place in 2023.”

Carroll added that according to her records, “Rapid market advancement stopped in early 2022. On average, it takes 12 to 24 months for the market to readjust. What we are seeing now are more sellers accepting that this phase is over. And that’s why there was a 29.6 percent increase in the number of price decreases reported in 2023.”

The NABOR® December 2023 Market Report provides comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings for 2023:

“Intermarket sales ­– like downsizing or upsizing – by current homeowners in Naples didn’t occur at the same rate we once enjoyed in pre-pandemic years,” added Vellano. “People who are locked into a mortgage at 3 percent are very reluctant to let it go.”

In response, Mike Hughes, Vice President and General Manager for Downing-Frye Realty, Inc., commented, “More choices don’t seem to outweigh the other factors facing buyers right now, and so buyer sense of urgency has diminished. It isn’t like 2021 when a home would be listed and sold in the same day. Plus, many people today are hoping the Fed will drop rates again. But I always remind people that ‘if you see a property you like, there are likely many others who will like it too.’ As we say in the business, ‘marry the house and date the rate’ as you can always look into refinancing if rates go down.”

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
Dec. 27, 2023

Home Prices Cool as Inventory Climbs in November

Naples, Fla. (December 26, 2023) – Overall inventory of homes in Naples for November increased 38.8 percent to 3,795 properties from 2,734 properties in November 2022. Buyers have not enjoyed a level of choice since September 2020. The month also included 1,080 price decreases resulting in a 3.3 percent decrease in overall median closed price. According to the November 2023 Market Report by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), data showed the housing market is poised to enjoy healthy winter sales, but it will depend on whether sellers continue to price their homes to sell and whether buyers feel the investment is right.

“A lot of the underlying foundation that drives the real estate market is in place,” said Budge Huskey, CEO, Premier Sotheby’s International Realty. “The primary obstacle to overcome is a residual feeling by buyers that things feel more expensive than they once were due to inflation, and this hesitancy is being translated to real estate.”

The November Report showed 1,080 price decreases, the highest in six months. Price deceleration may be happening in parts of Naples as the overall median closed price dropped to $580,000 from $600,000 in November 2022. As such, November was one of four months this year that reported a decrease in median closed prices. In fact, year-over-year price decreases have not been reported since 2019.

According to Mike Bone, Area Sales Manager with D.R. Horton, “Area builders have experienced a much slower fall sales market than what was budgeted for the fall months. Sales were lagging behind monthly budgets by approximately 25 percent, and cancellation rates on contracts have hovered around 20 percent due to the higher interest rates.”

Pending sales (homes under contract) in November decreased 13.8 percent to 661 pending sales from 767 pending sales in November 2022. Closed sales also decreased by 6.1 percent to 537 closed sales from 572 closed sales. Responding to this data, broker analysts reviewing the November report wonder if the Federal Reserve’s promise to lower rates in 2024 may be keeping some buyers on the fence.

The NABOR® November 2023 Market Report provides comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings for 2023:

While monthly inventory levels for single family and condominiums typically increase and decrease in a similar manner, inventory in the condominium home market in November rose by 74.5 percent compared to a 17.4 percent increase in the single family home market. Brokers reviewing the report said the rise in condominium inventory was most likely due to obstacles that prohibited sellers from listing their condominiums if it or the property encountered hurricane damage last year.

In 2021 and 2022, when inventory and interest rates were incredibly low, there was more urgency to buy a home. In 2023, interest rates, property insurance rates, and property taxes rose, making the cost of maintaining or keeping a home in Florida prohibitive for many homeowners.

According to Jeff Jones, Broker at Keller Williams Naples, “This might be especially true for second-home buyers who, because of new law, will no longer enjoy the same insurance rate as their primary residence. To remedy this obstacle, NABOR® teaches its REALTOR® members to request the buyer check their homeowner’s and flood insurance rates prior to writing a contract.”

“Another obstacle facing buyers today are a handful of sellers who are holding onto the belief that they can obtain pandemic-level prices for their Florida homes,” said Molly Lane, Senior Vice President at William Raveis Real Estate.

Huskey responded to Lane stating that, “We have two levels of inventory on the market today: those with sellers that are positioned to sell, and those with sellers who are testing the market based on prior years’ perceived values. The upcoming winter season will show us who is more likely to sell because we have the inventory now and it will be reflected in the ultimate value buyers are willing to pay.”

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
Nov. 27, 2023

October Inventory Expands in Anticipation of Winter Buyers

Naples, Fla. (November 27, 2023) – Real estate brokers reviewing the October 2023 Market Report by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), were encouraged to see a 31.8 percent increase in new listings to 1,231 new listings from 924 new listings in October 2022. The report also showed the median closed price of homes in Naples during October increased 4.5 percent to $580,000 from $555,000 in October 2022. According to broker analysts, these two factors indicate rumors of an extreme market correction were false. They also illustrate renewed seller confidence, which will be good news for buyers seeking more options in the coming months.

“October had the highest number of new listings added to the market compared to any October since the pandemic,” remarked Dominic Pallini, Broker at Vanderbilt Realty, Inc. Historically, and according to NABOR®’s monthly market reports, October and January have the highest number of new listings. New listings in October for the condominium market shot up 61.9 percent to 612 new condominium listings from 378 new condominium listings in October 2022. Single-family home new listings in October also increased at a healthy rate of 11.3 percent to 619 new single-family home listings from 556 new single-family homes listings in October 2022. Obviously though, one factor contributing to a rise in new listings this October was the need for many homeowners to postpone listing their properties for sale last October until damage from Hurricane Ian could be repaired. 

“The value of working with a REALTOR® in Naples is priceless,” said Jillian Young, President, Premiere Plus Realty. “Unlike housing markets in other areas of the country or Florida, Naples can be a bit of a tough nut. You might think your house is priced right based on a comparison of homes for sale nearby, but without a REALTOR® who understands the nuances of the existing home market or what planned new community developments are on the horizon, you might risk your home being overlooked by buyers if it lingers on the market too long because it wasn’t priced right.”

Pent up consumer travel during the summer distracted attention away from home sales as the report showed both pending sales (homes under contract) and closed sales activity were lower than pre-pandemic levels reported for an October. This can be traced to lower showing activity during the recent summer compared to summer 2022 levels. As such, overall pending sales in October decreased 1.2 percent to 665 pending sales from 673 pending sales; and overall closed sales in October decreased 12.8 percent to 594 closed sales from 681 closed sales in October 2022.

Higher days on the market also contributed to lower sales in October. For example, in the summer of 2022, days on market were below 20 days. Whereas, this past summer, days on market were over 50 days. For October, days on market increased 36.6 percent in October to 56 days from 41 days. Given this data, brokers anticipate healthy pending and closed sales activity in the coming months as showings during October increased 14 percent to 21,180 showings from 18,654 in October 2022.

The NABOR® October 2023 Market Report provides comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings for 2023:

According to NABOR® President Nick Bobzien, a broker associate at Downing-Frye Realty, “Interest rates are not as much an obstacle in Naples as cash sales continue to exceed 50 percent of all our sales, but they are for many northern home sellers who rely on buyers that require financing. There’s talk that some buyers are also sitting on the fence waiting for rates to drop. But regardless of when and whether the rates drop next year, our area is still well below a balanced market level [4.5 months of supply in October].”

Sherry Stein, CRB, Managing Broker, Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices, responded to Bobzien’s comments by stating, “It’s also likely that when rates go down, prices will go up. So, delaying a home purchase until the Fed lowers the interest rate ignores the real possibility that the home you can finance today might increase in price beyond what you can afford to finance when the rate is eventually lowered. In any event, nothing is stopping a buyer today from refinancing when the rate drops down the road.”

Incidentally, and according to Cindy Carroll, of Carroll & Carroll Appraisers & Consultants, LLC, a balanced market for Naples is when there is a 12-month supply of homes in inventory. As noted by Young, “The Naples Beach area [34102, 34103, 34108] has a 10-month supply of single-family homes for sale, and that’s even with the average closed price for single family homes decreasing 12 percent in October.”

Sales of luxury properties continue to drive the metrics for the real estate market in Naples. Looking at October’s market report, Stein said, “The average closed price­ of all properties – year to date – in Naples is over $1 million. And compared to last October, there are now 275 homes for sale in the $5 million and above price category, a 55.4 percent increase.”

The good news for buyers is that the percent of list price received has decreased 2.7 percent and 3.5 percent in the single-family and condominium market over the past 12 months, respectively. Pallini commented that “there were also 1,004 price reductions in October, basically a third of all homes for sale. If inventory continues to rise at its current pace, there will likely be more opportunities for buyers to negotiate.”

If you're in the market to buy or sell a home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
Oct. 30, 2023

Pre-Season Buyers Jump on New Inventory During September

Naples, Fla. (October 27, 2023) – New listings in Naples during September increased 27.3 percent to 937 new listings from 736 new listings in September 2022, making pre-season buyers very happy. According to the September 2023 Market Report by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), overall inventory continues to inch upward at a steady pace. For September, inventory for the single family home and condominium markets increased 13.2 percent to 2,793 properties from 2,468 properties in September 2022. The report also demonstrated that pre-season homebuying is starting earlier every year as pending sales (homes under contract) in September increased 18.7 percent to 735 pending sales from 619 in September 2022 and 687 in September 2019 (pre-pandemic).

The overall median closed price in September increased 3 percent to $571,500 from $555,000 in September 2022. Interestingly, the September report indicated there were 723 price reductions compared to 80 price increases during the month. The combination of new listings plus price reductions on existing inventory made September a great month to purchase a home. Historical data in the report confirms prices and competition during autumn months are lower than the winter months.

“The report showed the average closed price increased over 13 percent (month over month) for September,” said Budge Huskey, CEO, Premier Sotheby’s International Realty. “While we are seeing appreciation rates decelerate across all markets, Naples continues to command top values for quality properties.”

Incidentally, during the September 27th NABOR® Economic Summit, Dr. Brad O’Connor, Florida Realtors®’ chief economist of its research department, spoke in length about home appreciation and said, “prices in Naples increased 88 percent from pre-COVID prices.” Following Dr. O’Connor’s presentation, Dr. Lawrence Yun, the chief economist for the National Association of REALTORS®, further commented that “Naples is at a $250,000 to $300,000 spike in wealth gain for its property owners.”

Overall closed sales increased 5.4 percent to 587 closed sales from 557 closed sales in September 2022; but – as pointed out by several broker analysts including Wes Kunkle, President and Managing Broker at Kunkle International Realty, “The last six to ten days of September 2022 were spent preparing for a hurricane, so fewer pending sales were able to close by the end of the month.” As a result, the hurricane limited the month’s potential for closed sales transactions.

While inventory in the $300,000 and below single-family market is limited to primarily manufactured homes, Huskey pointed out that “inventory in the $5 million and above market nearly doubled in the last year.”

The NABOR® September 2023 Market Report provides comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings for 2023:

Even though nearly the same number of pending sales were reported in September for both the condominium and single-family home markets, Huskey remarked that “pending sales of condominiums during September [+38.9%] wildly outperformed pending sales of single family homes [+3.9%] as compared to September 2022.”

For homeowners who are still facing expensive repairs from Hurricane Ian damage, Huskey said, “Natural disasters causing damage losses not declared a special natural disaster may be claimed as a deduction on a homeowner’s income tax return. Ask your tax professional about this IRS relief opportunity as you may be entitled to a rebate or refund.”

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
Sept. 29, 2023

Market Resiliency Fuels Home Sales in August

Naples, Fla. (September 22, 2023) – Inventory is selling quickly, and prices are stable in the Naples housing market. According to the August 2023 Market Report by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), closed sales of homes in Naples during August increased 17 percent compared to July closed sales, and 1.9 percent to 702 closed sales from 689 closed sales in August 2022. Brokers who reviewed the Market Report are confident sales during the second half of 2023 could outperform sales during the second half of 2022, unless we experience another major disaster like a hurricane. Another promising factor that supports this expectation is the steady rate of new listings, which increased 2.6 percent in August, and contributed to the 7.2 percent increase in inventory for the month.

“I see the top of the last economic cycle occurring in the first quarter of 2022,” said Cindy Carroll of Carroll & Carroll Appraisers & Consultants, LLC. “This is when 18 months of rapid appreciation in most market sectors came to a halt. Historically, a period of correction follows a market peak. However, in most market areas, property values remain stable or have returned to our long-term historical trend of 8 percent per year appreciation. I am searching daily for evidence of wide-spread market decline but have yet to find it.”

The median closed price in August increased 5.2 percent to $605,000 from $575,000 in August 2022. Though according to the August report, activity in the condominium market fueled many of the increases reported. As such, there was a 7.7 percent increase in the median closed price in the condominium market compared to a 2.2 percent decrease in median closed price for the single-family home market; a 10.1 percent increase in new condominium listings compared to a 3 percent decrease in new single-family home listings; and a 25.5 percent increase in condominium inventory compared to a 3.7 percent decrease in single-family home inventory.

Typically, one of the slower months for activity, August’s showings decreased 19 percent to 21,269 showings from 26,191 showings in August 2022, which might also explain the 9.4 percent decrease in pending sales in August to 811 from 895 in August 2022.

“Days on market have been hovering around 50 since December 2022,” said Adam Vellano, a Naples Sales Manager at Compass Florida. “Before the pandemic, it was at 90-100 days.” For August, the report showed 54 days on market compared to 31 days on market in August 2022.

The NABOR® August 2023 Market Report provides comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings for 2023:

 

“Even in a time of economic volatility and uncertainty, Florida still provides benefits as a tax haven compared to other states with high taxation and cost of living rates,” said Jillian Young, President, Premiere Plus Realty, who added that “sellers waiting until winter season to list their home may miss out on the buyers who want to purchase a home before the end of the year and before more anticipated rate hikes.”

Young also went on to say that “if the housing market’s activity continues to perform at the same steady rate we’ve enjoyed so far this year – and current market conditions show it has the potential – then it’s likely homeowners could enjoy a 7 percent increase in home value by year end. The fact that properties didn’t lose value during a year after a major hurricane will only strengthen the desirability of future homeownership in Naples.”

Broker analysts are not optimistic that inventory will rise above 3,000 properties in the next year. According to Jeff Jones, Broker at Keller Williams Naples, “The report showed 731 price decreases in August. I tell my agents that these should be considered ‘new listings’ as the new lower list price will be attractive to a set of new buyers seeking homes in that new lower price range.”

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
Aug. 27, 2023

Home Prices Hold Steady in July

Naples, Fla. (August 25, 2023) – While much of America grapples with unfamiliarly high interest rates that have stalemated the resale home market, broker analysts reviewing the July 2023 Market Report by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), point to data that shows home sales activity in Naples has remained steady for the past year despite several interest rate increases. Yet, even as cash sales for homes in Naples decreased from 66.7 percent in January to 53.5 percent in July, the overall median closed price of homes in the first seven months of 2023 has continued to increase compared to most months in the first seven months of 2022.

 

“Activity for our area has flatlined compared to last year, but it is still trending higher than before the pandemic,” said Molly Lane, Senior Vice President at William Raveis Real Estate. “While there might be fewer homes to show buyers right now, a significant number of sales are still occurring, and there’s nothing to indicate that home prices will drop suddenly.”

The July Market Report’s total sales data showed 81 fewer homes sold in July compared to July 2022, an 11.9 percent decrease to 600 closed sales from 681 closed sales. On the other side of the spectrum, pending listings (homes under contract) in July increased 6.3 percent to 798 pending listings from 751 pending listings in July 2022, which illustrates our market’s steadiness. Also, the percent of list price received this July is steady at 96.1 percent compared to 97.9 percent in July 2022. In July, days on market increased 115.4 percent to 56 days from 26 days in July 2022, the lowest reported in the history of NABOR®’s Market Reports. Incidentally, before the pandemic, days on market averaged over 100 days (104 days in July 2019).

“Fortunately, new listings continue to be steady each month,” said Mike Hughes, Vice President and General Manager for Downing-Frye Realty, Inc. “But they aren’t replenishing inventory at the rate we need, and so inventory has been dropping for each of the last four months.”

New listings in July decreased 15.4 percent to 810 new listings from 957 new listings in July 2022. Before the pandemic, new listings supplemented an already very healthy inventory level. Data showed there were 5,200 properties for sale in Naples in July 2019 compared to 2,583 properties listed for sale in July 2023. But while new listings, closed sales, and pending sales activity have almost returned to 2019 levels, overall inventory has not.

As inventory faded away during the homebuying frenzy of the pandemic years, median closed prices rose by over 50 percent. In July 2019, the median closed price in Naples was $325,000. But in July 2023, the median closed price increased 9.2 percent to $595,000 from $545,000 in July 2022.

“I don’t think sales in our area have stalemated,” said Hughes. “Looking at the data, we’re no better and no worse than we were a year ago. In fact, historically speaking, we’re only 500 sales off from the number of closed sales reported in the first seven months of 2019. And that’s with half the inventory. This says so much about resiliency and the desirability of homeownership in our area.”

The NABOR® July 2023 Market Report provides comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings for 2023: 

 

The report also showed 199 pending listings went back on the market in July. According to Jillian Young, President, Premiere Plus Realty, “Just because your offer is not chosen doesn’t necessarily mean that the home you want is off the table. It may come back onto the market. If you can afford to buy a home do it because prices may not decline and if interest rates drop, then you will face more competition when it happens.”

Brokers like Hughes recommend working with a REALTOR® who can assist you in putting in back up offers and exploring your financing options. “You can always consider refinancing if interest rates drop. Plus, adjustable rate and hybrid loans are another good option today.”

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370.

Posted in Market Report
July 25, 2023

Naples Housing Market Prime for Summer Buyers

Naples, Fla. (July 21, 2023) – Broker analysts reviewing the June 2023 Market Report by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), believe a surge in summer travel contributed to the reduction in home sales in Naples during June. The report showed a 13.6 percent decrease in overall closed sales for the month to 837 closed sales from 969 closed sales in June 2022. Though the dip in closed sales appears temporary and may not linger into July’s closed sales data as overall pending sales (homes under contract) in June increased 0.8 percent to 800 pending sales from 794 pending sales, and June’s showings increased slightly from showings reported in June 2022. Fortunately, slow sales in June did not impact home prices as the median closed price reported in June increased 0.4 percent to $602,494 from $600,000 in June 2022.

Upon reviewing the report, Dominic Pallini, Broker at Vanderbilt Realty, Inc., remarked that he believes “a change in consumer sentiment is coming as people get more comfortable with higher interest rates. I think they went up too fast and it frightened a large segment of home buyers. But we’re starting to see more price negotiations and realistic list prices.”

The percent of list price received during June decreased 2.9 percent to 96.2 percent from 99.1 percent in June 2022. “Last year, sellers were immobile on prices,” said Wes Kunkle, President and Managing Broker at Kunkle International Realty. “But I haven’t heard of any bidding wars this year, and the drop in list price received indicates more price negotiations.”

“Buyer hesitation today is fueled by the three horsemen of the homebuying apocalypse: insurance, property taxes and interest rates,” said Jillian Young, President, Premiere Plus Realty. “Despite these challenges, the Naples area remains a highly desirable lifestyle destination for high-net worth individuals. In the last year, there have been 193 home sales over $5 million.”

Overall inventory continues to rise compared to 2022 levels. June had an 8.2 percent increase in overall inventory to 2,659 homes from 2,457 homes. But according to the area’s top brokers, this increase was due to low sales for the month and not because of new listings, which decreased 28.2 percent to 860 new listings from 1,198 new listings in June 2022.

The NABOR® June 2023 Market Report provides comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings for 2023:

“Travel is the elixir that will make people feel inspired to buy again once they return home from summer vacations,” said Cindy Carroll of Carroll & Carroll Appraisers & Consultants, LLC. “It’s been 15 months since the market peaked [December 2021]. We’ve been through a pandemic and hurricane and still the monthly reports fail to indicate a market correction will happen anytime soon as median and average closed prices continue to hold steady.”

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
July 10, 2023

10 Months Post Hurricane and SWFL is still Paradise

Thank you for your continued use of “NaplesPropertyPreview.com” as your primary resource for Real Estate and property information in SW Florida.  

A recent article in the Naples Daily News stated, “Hurricane Ian couldn’t dampen property values in Collier County:  In fact, values have increased 20% since last year”.  The article goes on to say that some of the biggest factors that led to the value increases in 2023 were tight inventory, increasing land values and higher construction costs.  The city of Naples saw property value increases of 19.4% since last November with new construction valued at $488.5 million.

Property values in Lee County increased 6.4% compared to 2022.  The value of real estate in the heavily damaged Ft Myers Beach and Sanibel Island went down substantially but they are making vast progress as more and more restaurants, stores and tourist destinations reopen.

The city of Marco Island experienced a 22% increase in value from the year prior.

Overall, worries that Hurricane Ian would dampen values along coastal Collier County did not materialize, according to the above numbers.

In our offices, we are seeing an uptick in Sellers accepting financing.  Additionally, some of the New Home Builders are offering more desirable interest rates which is incentivizing Buyers of newly built homes.

We are here to help with any of your home buying or selling needs.  Feel free to reach out should you have any questions about SW Florida real estate.  We look forward to helping you find your next “PIECE OF PARADISE”.

Susan Sanderson, Downing-Frye Realty, Inc.

239-821-2370

NaplesPropertyPreview.com