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July 24, 2021

Frenzy Fades to a Simmer as Inventory Dips Going into Summer

Naples High Rise Condos For Sale

Naples, FL (July 23, 2021) – With less than a one month supply of inventory available, the Naples area housing market experienced a 14.5 percent decrease in overall pending sales in June to 1,256 pending sales from 1,469 pending sales in June 2020. Low inventory levels in June also contributed to a 7 percent decrease in showings for the month. This simmering of activity has broker analysts who reviewed the June 2021 Market Report released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), certain that the wild housing market frenzy that began about a year ago – peaking in March – is now decelerating and being replaced with a new level of activity that reflects improved market equity for sellers and sustained buyer interest from people seeking permanent residency.

“Inventory is turning over daily,” said Brenda Fioretti, Broker Associate at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Florida Realty. “That’s an important point for buyers to understand because many people think the inventory number we report is all that is available for the month. But that’s not true. Multiple home buying opportunities are a daily occurrence with new listings coming on the market continually. So buyers shouldn’t give up hope when inventory is low because their dream home might become available tomorrow. Though they need to be prepared to move quickly before the home sells.”

According to the report, overall inventory decreased 78.8 percent to 1,271 homes in June from 6,003 homes in June 2020. As expected going into summer, new listings decreased 12 percent in June to 1,147 new listings from 1,303 new listings in June 2020. However, in the first six months of 2021, new listings have increased 9.9 percent to 8,744 new listings compared to 7,957 new listings reported during the first six months of 2020. In fact, the number of new listings during the first six months of 2021 was actually higher than the number of new listings reported in the first six months of any year in the last five years.

“Last year, the second half of the year was better than the first,” said Mike Hughes, Vice President and General Manager for Downing-Frye Realty, Inc., who added, “but I think we will probably see the opposite this year.”

Hughes prediction might be accurate because according to the SWFL MLS data, it is unlikely we will be able to match the sales activity witnessed over the last year anytime soon. For example, closed sales in Naples increased 85.1 percent in the first half of 2021 to 9,414 closed sales from 5,086 closed sales in the first half of 2020 (during the height of COVID-19). For added perspective, in the first half of 2018 and 2019, there were about 5,400 total closed sales reported, respectively. Also, the year-end report for 2020 showed 15,582 total closed sales for the year, which means over 10,500 closed sales took place during the second half of 2020. When the buying frenzy began a year ago in June, Naples had a 7.3 month supply of homes. As a result of the impressive year-long sales activity, our area now has a .9 month (less than 30 days) supply of homes.

But the tight inventory isn’t squelching demand quite yet. Closed sales in June increased 67.8 percent to 1,505 closed sales from 897 closed sales in June 2020.

“Sellers are capitalizing on the current market,” added Hughes, “but buyer demand has simply stripped our inventory. Since April, we’ve seen a 55 percent drop in inventory.” Hughes pointed out that the June report showed Naples had four times the inventory but only 200 more sales last June than what was reported during June of 2021.

According to Adam Vellano, a Naples Sales Manager at Compass Florida, “Due to the current inventory shortage, the overall percentage of current list price received was 99.4 percent in June. Buyers are willing to overpay, but not grossly overpay. So our advice to sellers is that ‘if your home doesn’t sell in the first couple of weeks, then it’s either overpriced or needs work to become more desirable.’”

“The positive news is that report also showed an extremely high percentage of cash transactions [58.3 percent],” said Vellano, who added, “which indicates that buyers are confident our market has value and equity.”

The NABOR® June 2021 Market Report provide comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings: 

 

The veteran Naples brokers who review the market report each month also said buyer demographics have changed in the last year. Dominic Pallini, Broker at Vanderbilt Realty, summed up their thoughts by remarking, “More people are coming here to live full time and they are willing to pay the price for a home in paradise.”

The median closed price in June increased 30.3 percent to $465,000 from $357,000 in June 2020. However, for the 12-months ending June 2021, the median closed price for condominiums over $2 million actually decreased 9.4 percent. Sales of condominiums during June skyrocketed 98.7 percent to 767 closed sales of condominiums from 386 closed sales of condominiums in June 2020.

Geographically, the Ave Maria/Immokalee area reported the highest increase in new single-family home listings for June with a 52.4 percent increase, followed by the Central Naples area (34104, 34105, 34116), which reported a 37.5 percent increase in new single-family home listings for the month.

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
June 26, 2021

Home Prices Climb in May

New Listing - Park Shore in Naples

Naples, FL (June 25, 2021) – Homes in the Naples area were being sold at 99.1 percent of the list price in May. A tight inventory and buyer demand continued to push prices upward in May, which resulted in an overall median closed price increase of 29.4 percent to $433,500 from $335,000 in May 2020, according to the May 2021 Market Report released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island). Broker analysts reviewing the report predict continued price increases in 2021, but noted monthly showing and sales activity is beginning to show signs of deceleration from the remarkable market experienced during the first quarter of 2021.

Interestingly, the May Market Report showed the same number of list price increases for the month of May (247) as decreases (247), which, according to Mike Hughes, Vice President and General Manager for Downing-Frye Realty, Inc., is a reflection of behaviors from two types of sellers: “the ones who, despite comparable pricing recommendations from a REALTOR®, seem to pick a high listing price and eventually have to decrease the home’s price to attract buyers; and those who listen to a REALTOR® and price the home right, but because of rising prices due to strong buyer demand in our market right now, end up selling the home at a higher price.”

“Some sellers have been asking about price wars,” said Molly Lane, Senior Vice President at William Raveis Real Estate. “This may not always be the best strategy as some buyers are weary of losing out and the seller may not get the desired result. It’s always best to consult with a REALTOR® as to the best strategy when pricing a home.”

Spencer Haynes, Vice President of Business Development and Broker with John R. Wood Properties, agreed with Lane and added, “A REALTOR® will help a seller price a home dead on the money or just a little below market to drive in offers. Buyers are getting keen on the tactic by some sellers to price way above value, and those sellers may not get the action they expect.”

Cash sales in May accounted for 58.4 percent of the closed sales transactions. The cash buyers continued to create challenges for competing buyers who required financing. It took an average of 90 days for a home to go from list to contract in May 2020, but in May 2021, the average days on the market was reduced to 43 days, a 52.2 percent decrease.

But the trend of paying cash for a home does not preclude those buyers who want to finance from purchasing a home. Buyers who are prequalified for a mortgage often fare well during negotiations and enjoy a faster closing process than those who are not prequalified. Also, as pointed out by Phil Wood, President & CEO of John R. Wood Properties, “Many capable cash buyers are leaving their money in the stock market because they can achieve a higher return there as compared to the low mortgage rates, of approximately 3.2%.”

The May Market Report showed overall closed sales increased 164.4 percent to 1,618 from 612 in May 2020 (a month when all the world was in COVID-19 lockdown). For perspective, closed sales increased 36 percent in May 2021 compared to May 2019 (a non-pandemic lockdown month). Nevertheless, closed sales activity in May 2021 outperformed any other May in the history of NABOR®’s market statistics reports.

The NABOR® May 2021 Market Report provide comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings: 

 

Overall inventory fell 79.1 percent in May to 1,290 homes from 6,177 homes in May 2020, but monthly new listings activity continues. May welcomed 1,274 new listings, a 7.6 percent increase from 1,184 in May 2020. New listings that come on the market each month help to temper the drop in overall inventory and provide more opportunities to eager buyers.

“We’re in for a period of low sustained inventory,” said Budge Huskey, CEO, Premier Sotheby’s International Realty. “But even when demand begins to level off – perhaps in the second half of the year as is historically the case – our area will not see any real decline in prices because new fundamental values for our market are being set today and they are not likely to trend down again.”

Cash sales were not the only contributing factor to the drop in days on the market. Another factor was the 45 percent increase in showings for May (42,380 up from 29,319 in May 2020), which ultimately resulted in a 46.5 percent increase in pending sales for May to 1,710 pending sales from 1,167 pending sales in May 2020.

Historically, the Naples housing market’s activity in the first half of the year is not sustained during the second half of the year. However, since tourism to Florida is expected to increase this summer and buyers from foreign countries may also begin to arrive in the coming months, a return to more normalized buying behavior in the second half of the year was discussed although remains uncertain.

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

 

Posted in Market Report
May 22, 2021

Sellers Step Up in Attempt to Meet Buyer Demand in April

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Naples, FL (May 21, 2021) – Buyers eager for more home choices were treated to an increase in new listings during April. According to the April 2021 Market Report, released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), there were 1,460 new listings added to the pool of homes for sale in Naples during April. This was a 106.2 percent increase in new listings compared to new listings added during April 2020. However, and as broker analysts reviewing the report were quick to point out, evaluating market conditions using month-over-month market data will not produce equitable comparisons for the next few months because the real estate industry, like virtually all businesses, experienced reduced productivity levels as a result of mandatory COVID-19 restrictions.

Fioretti, along with several brokers who review NABOR®’s monthly Market Report, say buyers are best served in today’s low inventory market environment when they work closely with a REALTOR®. These professionals are trained to help buyers navigate the Naples area housing market using real-time technology that alerts them immediately when new homes that meet their clients’ needs become available.

Buyer demand in April took another bite on our inventory. April had 2,037 pending sales (homes under contract) and 1,882 closed sales, which resulted in 1,432 homes remaining in inventory by the end of the month. Not surprising, and because of increased demand for the Naples lifestyle, the 8-month supply of homes in April 2020 was reduced to a 1.1-month supply of homes at the end of April 2021. This substantial loss of inventory is attributed to post-pandemic relocation buying behaviors, a new reality in many Florida communities.

The median closed price in April increased 30.9 percent to $445,000 from $340,000 in April 2020. But according to Spencer Haynes, Vice President of Business Development and Broker with John R. Wood Properties, “Pricing is not an issue with most buyers. What we are dealing with today is a market of real end-users, not investors or ‘speculative flippers’ like what we saw in 2005/2006. People are not willing to buy anything just to get into a home right now. They have cash and are willing to wait until the right home becomes available.”

“The market is responding exactly as it should,” said Adam Vellano, a Naples Sales Manager at Compass Florida. “The number of new listings is going up and they are selling fast because demand is simply outpacing the inventory replenishment. The rise in homeowners’ equity during this hot market means everyone who bought a home in the last five or six years is in a good position to make a profit if they choose to sell now.”

The NABOR® April 2021 Market Reports provide comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings: 

Since January, the Naples area housing market has enjoyed a 14.3 percent increase in new listings compared to new listings during the same time period in 2020. “Some buyers who haven’t found their ideal home yet might think, ‘There’s nothing left to see,’” said Brenda Fioretti, Broker Associate at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Florida Realty, “but new listings are hitting the market everyday so they shouldn’t give up searching for a home.”

Historically, new construction sales accounted for 25 percent of all home sales in Naples. But raw material shortages are forcing many local builders to require escalation clauses or press pause on future sales as it is becoming increasingly difficult for them to determine market prices a year from now.

Jeff Jones, Broker at Keller Williams Naples, added, "If a buyer is interested in a home that already has an accepted offer, that doesn’t mean it has sold. With such tight inventory, buyers are submitting offers on multiple homes so it’s a great practice to submit a backup offer if a buyer is really interested in the home. In all cases, there can be only one buyer per home so when this happens the buyer's back-up offer could become the winning offer.”

While overall closed sales continued to climb across all neighborhoods in Naples during April, according to Phil Wood, President & CEO of John R. Wood Properties, closed sales in the $1 million and $2 million and above price categories outperformed all other lower priced home categories tracked by NABOR®. “Traditionally, our seven-figure sales begin to level off after Easter. But today they remain strong. Whether it’s a single-family home over $1 million or a condominium over $2 million, the luxury market is still very much on fire.”

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

View the North America Luxury Market Report

 

Posted in Market Report
April 25, 2021

March Home Sales Volume for Naples Hits Record High

Explore Homes For Sale in Olde Naples

Naples, FL (April 23, 2021) – Records were broken in March, but “don’t call Guinness just yet!” say broker analysts reviewing the March 2021 Market Report, released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island). The analysts are a small contingency of leaders who represent the area’s top real estate brokerage firms and meet monthly at NABOR® to interpret area housing market statistics. The group’s analysis of activity last month confirmed that March broke records; but celebrations to commemorate the month’s record high statistics should be postponed because these broker analysts also agree that our market is probably not done breaking records for the year.

According to the report, March’s historic activity included 1,851 closed sales, $1,582,474,997 in total sales volume, and 60,147 showing appointments. This makes March 2021 the highest performing month on record over the last 13 years (the span of time NABOR® has tracked key metrics reflecting the area’s housing market activity).

March was also the first month in several years where there were more reported price increases than decreases. Median closed prices in March increased 12.2 percent to $415,000 (the highest median price increase month/month on record since 2008) from $370,000 in March 2020. In March 2021, there were just 1,819 homes in inventory (the lowest it has been since 2014), which was a 73.2 percent decrease from 6,795 homes in inventory in March 2020.

“Appreciation values have not increased dramatically in all price ranges,” said Molly Lane, Senior Vice President at William Raveis Real Estate. “Most of the high appreciation that’s driving median and average closed prices up in recent months is in the $2 million and over market.”

Pending sales (homes under contract) activity in March also broke records, as seen in the 152.7 percent spike to 2,469 pending listings from 977 pending listings in March 2020. However, broker analysts were quick to remind each other that a high number of sales during the second half of the month last year were lost as we were in a pandemic lockdown. Despite last March’s COVID-19-related market anomaly, this March’s pending sales still eclipsed pending sales activity reported in any March over the last eight years.

“This is a challenging time for buyers in Naples,” said Brenda Fioretti, Broker Associate at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Florida Realty, “and why it’s extremely important they work with a local REALTOR® whose experience and expertise can guide them through the process.”

Fioretti is confident buyers can improve their chances of purchasing the property they want by being well-prepared as they enter this competitive market. She and several broker analysts advise buyers take the following steps prior to making an offer

Get a mortgage pre-approval

Be ready to make a competitive offer

Be available to view a home at the seller’s convenience

Confirm that your agent has activated your profile in the Southwest Florida MLS, and make sure the information is accurate so you can be matched with new listings as soon as they become available

Stay connected and respond quickly to your agent’s requests

Be ready to make up the difference between the appraised value and the sale price if financing your home

Don’t fall in love with just one house: Have a second and third choice in mind in case you miss out on your first choice

If your favorite home choice goes pending with another buyer, make a back up offer anyway! Often, the first buyer backs out and you become the primary. You can continue shopping for a home and terminate the back-up contract at any time before you become the primary

Rely on your REALTOR® for advice concerning escalation clauses and contingency matters

Pay with cash to be most competitive, if possible, and avoid the mortgage underwriting process

The NABOR® March 2021 Market Reports provide comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings: 

Mike Hughes, Vice President and General Manager for Downing-Frye Realty, Inc., pointed out that closed sales in March left buyers in April with a 1.6 month supply of homes. For perspective, the National Association of REALTORS® considers a six-month supply of housing a balanced market. However, Hughes was quick to also remark that “depletion of inventory is not due to a lack of sellers, as new listings have been steady over the past several years.” According to the report, new listings have been hovering around 1,500 a month for the last decade. In March, new listings even increased 32.5 percent to 1,670 new listings from 1,260 new listings in March 2020. “With limited new construction options, buyers are stripping our resale inventory,” said Hughes, “especially in the high-end market.”

The March Market Report showed remarkable closed sales performance in the condominium market during March too, which had a 71.6 percent increase in sales to 1,021 closed sales from 595 closed sales in March 2020. Closed sales of single-family homes over $2 million also increased 68.4 percent in March. Geographically, closed sales of condominiums in Central Naples rose 118.3 percent in March, while the average sale price for single family homes in Central Naples increased 38.4 percent to $901,807 from $651,370 in March 2020.

“Sellers are raising prices and multiple offers are still coming in,” said Budge Huskey, CEO, Premier Sotheby’s International Realty. “This is because inventory is limited, and more sellers are realizing now is a good time to place their home on the market and get top value in the current market conditions!”

Broker analysts predict the level of demand experienced in March is sustainable and should be expected to continue for the next few months, or longer. “Season was disrupted this year because many people elected to hold off relocating until they were fully vaccinated,” added Huskey. “Agents also report that many seasonal visitors are staying longer than in previous years, possibly because they can afford to wait in anticipation of more homes becoming available in the luxury market. I believe we’ll continue to see more newcomers from northern states looking for homes in the high end in the coming months. Beyond that, and as we enter the summer season, we might begin to see a second wave of international buyers entering our market as travel restrictions begin to relax.”

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
March 26, 2021

Increased Demand in February Shows Homebuyers Recognize a Great Value

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Naples, FL (March 24, 2021) – The February 2021 Market Report, released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), marks the last month of comparative activity before the pandemic shuttered the global economy in March 2020. That said, overall closed sales of existing homes in Naples for February increased 62 percent to 1,307 closed sales from 807 closed sales in February 2020.

Broker analysts reviewing the February 2021 Market Report were not surprised at the increased momentum as many report buyers are scooping up the available inventory of homes in all geographic locations within Naples almost as fast as they come onto the market. Inventory fell 68.8 percent in February to 2,224 homes from 7,127 homes in February 2020.

Single-family homes continue to be in high demand so, according to the report, many buyers pivoted to condominiums in February. As a result, the condominium market experienced a 75.7 percent increase in closed sales and a 66.6 percent decrease in inventory. In fact, condominium sales in February 2021 eclipsed its comparable sales in any month over the past 15 years.

“This is not a housing boom as many people suggest,” said Spencer Haynes, Vice President of Business Development and Broker with John R. Wood Properties. “I consider it a ‘market correction,’ as our area has simply been undervalued until now and it is finally experiencing its due appreciation.”

Haynes added that “in many desirable locations like California and Atlanta, high buyer demand, low inventory, and rising prices have been a reality for years. And unlike 2005/2006, activity is not a result of ‘manufactured wealth’. Sales today are done with real money, which is why home values in our area are finally increasing. Besides, we have what everyone is looking for as it’s now possible to work from anywhere in the world so why not live and work in paradise.”

In addition to the struggle to find existing properties for sale in all price categories, buyers are also finding new home purchasing options are diminishing.

“Builders are reporting a big shortage in materials for new home construction,” said Jeff Jones, Broker at Keller Williams Naples. “For example, orders for new windows are out 14 months because there’s not enough glass for production. And there’s also a shortage of resin for pipe production and lumber has been scarce too.”

Corey McCloskey, NABOR® President and VP of Operations at John R. Wood Properties concurred, commenting that she’s heard from REALTORS® in South Carolina and Arizona that hundreds of new homes in their towns are sitting finished without windows.

Another result of high buyer demand in Naples: “New home communities are nearly sold out so were seeing many put their last lots up for bid,” said Dominic Pallini, Broker at Vanderbilt Realty.

It’s not surprising then that February saw pending sales of existing homes in Naples skyrocket 50.7 percent to 2,299 pending sales from 1,526 pending sales in February 2020. In comparison, there were more pending sales (2,299) at the end of February than inventory (2,224). This resulted in a drastic drop in supply as the February report revealed our area now has only a 2-months supply of homes available to buyers.

The NABOR® February 2021 Market Reports provide comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings: 

In February, the median closed price increased 17.4 percent to $405,000 from $345,000 in February 2020. As such, the average closed price also increased in February by 25.7 percent to $796,936 from $633,898 in February 2020. The luxury single-family home market continues to drive sales in Naples as reflected in the average closed price for single-family homes in the Naples Beach area, which increased 35.4 percent to $3,270,814 from $2,414,826 in February 2020.

According to Wes Kunkle, President and Managing Broker at Kunkle International Realty, even though interest rates are low, “many buyers are purchasing homes with cash as it provides leverage during the sale.” This occurrence often happens in multiple offer situations because financing can often weaken an offer. So buyers use cash to make the purchase with the intent of refinancing to enjoy the low interest rates once the sale is complete. Not surprising, cash sales accounted for 57.9 percent of all closed sales during February.

Whether new listings – which fell 8.6 percent in February to 1,435 new listings from 1,570 new listings in February 2021 – can meet the demand in the coming months will depend on seller motivation. In a tight inventory climate, brokers said it’s not uncommon for REALTORS® to approach a homeowner in a desirable community and ask: “I know your home is not for sale but how much do you want to sell it because I have a buyer?”

Jones added that it’s important the public understand “our market today is based on equity – not speculative lending like we saw in 2005 leading up to the housing market bubble.”

The demand for single-family homes in Naples is so high right now that its convincing many homeowners to downsize in order to take advantage of the market’s demand and enjoy a nice profit. That’s one reason condominium sales increased in February and why properties in 55 and older communities also saw increased activity.

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
Feb. 25, 2021

No Home Left Behind: Buyers Descend on Naples Housing Market in January

Explore Kalea Bay in North Naples

Explore Kalea Bay in North Naples

Naples, FL – Buyers fleeing frigid weather descended on Naples in full force during January, which reported a 38.5 percent increase in overall pending sales (homes under contract) to 2,210 pending sales from 1,359 pending sales in January 2020, according to the January 2021 Market Report, released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island). Not surprisingly, as a result of impressive activity during the fourth quarter of 2020, overall closed sales in January increased 49.7 percent to 1,109 closed sales from 741 closed sales in January 2020, leaving agents with 2.6 months of inventory at the end of the first month of the new year.

“Buyer demand is remarkably high,” said Molly Lane, Senior Vice President at William Raveis Real Estate. “We are beginning to see some ‘over-asking price’ offers.”

Jeff Jones, Broker at Keller Williams Naples, agreed with Lane and responded that “there were also more price increases in January than decreases. Jones continued, “REALTORS® are trained to counsel sellers on setting realistic home prices; but because inventory is so limited right now, asking prices for many homes in Naples during January were higher than appraised values.”

According to the report, showings in Naples increased 36 percent to 57,468 in January from 42,299 in January 2020. This was the highest number of showings recorded in one month over the past 12 months.

Overall inventory in January fell 59.7 percent to 2,750 homes from 6,828 homes in January 2020. The radical and continuous reduction in inventory is changing the dynamic of the transaction. According to broker analysts, in addition to more multiple offer encounters, their agents are reporting an increase in the use of escalation clauses, which is a clause stating that the buyer will pay a certain amount of money above the highest offer the seller receives, as well as other unique buying tactics such as the buyer writing a personal letter to a seller expressing their deep interest in the home.

“I suspect we may soon see more homes listed with an offer window [a limited amount of time, typically a week, wherein the seller will give all potential buyers a window in which to submit offers prior to a response],” said Budge Huskey, CEO, Premier Sotheby’s International Realty.

The median closed price in January increased 14.7 percent to $395,000 from $344,500 in January 2020. And while this is $10,000 lower than the median closed price reported in December, broker analysts reviewing the January report feel the market’s inability to keep up with demand and the 65.1 percent increase in closed sales for homes above $2 million in January will have a substantial impact on where prices go in the coming months.

The NABOR® January 2021 Market Reports provide comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings: 

 

Spencer Haynes, Vice President of Business Development and Broker with John R. Wood Properties, added that he is seeing an increase in revitalization efforts in older communities throughout Naples. “There is great potential within our more established neighborhoods that have no land for new home builds. Many of these older homes are ideal for a complete remodel or possibly a tear down and spec home.”

Huskey concurred and remarked that we are at a point where “homeowners in these older neighborhoods are starting to feel confident they can increase the value by renovating before they sell or selling to a teardown buyer.”

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

 

Posted in Market Report
Feb. 13, 2021

Housing Market Soars in 2020 Despite the Pandemic

Search Isles of Collier Preserve Homes For Sale

“Because of the lockdowns up north, our market experienced a 38 and 54 percent drop in pending sales during March and April [respectively],” reported Mike Hughes, Vice President of Downing-Frye, Realty, Inc., and a panelist at the Naples Area Board of REALTORS®’ 2020 Year-End Market Conference on February 2, 2021. Hughes shared the virtual stage with Budge Huskey, CEO, Premier Sotheby’s International Realty; Adam Ruud, Broker, Domain Realty; and Jeff Jones, Broker at Keller Williams Naples.

“It wasn’t until May that I realized ‘the sky isn’t falling’,” said Hughes. “REALTORS® adapted quickly and became better at marketing using FaceTime, virtual tours and other creative ways to show properties. It paid off because according to the annual report, pending sales in Naples had an incredible run from July to December, with an average of 1,400 pending sales during each of those months.”

Hughes pointed out that there were 7,104 pending sales from January through June, but 9,150 from July through December. “I’ve never seen this type of improved activity in the second half of a year. We were certainly in unchartered waters in 2020.”

Pending sales for 2020 increased 28.8 percent to 16,254 pending sales from 12,623 pending sales in 2019. “These results speak volumes to the resiliency of the industry, to REALTORS® in our area, and to the desirability of our local market,” added Hughes.

Discussing closed sales for 2020, Adam Ruud began his presentation by stating, “Back in March, we faced extreme uncertainty; but REALTORS® thrived in the midst of a goliath-like challenge, and the Naples housing market emerged as the catalyst and backbone of what was an uncertain economy.”

Closed sales for 2020 increased 19.4 percent to 12,300 closed sales from 10,302 closed sales in 2019. “Closed volume for the year was also remarkable,” added Ruud, “There was a 41 percent increase in closed volume year over year, which equated to a remarkable increase from $12.9 billion in 2019 to $18.2 billion in 2020.”

Looking at a quarterly analysis of closed sales during 2020, the annual report showed that the first quarter had an increase of 21.1 percent in closed sales, while quarter two had a decrease of 29.4 percent. Ruud pointed out that “as Mike Hughes mentioned, the housing market rallied during the third and fourth quarters, and we had increases in closed sales of 40.6 percent and 55.5 percent [respectively].”

“Even facing many unknown challenges during the second quarter, we saw incredible efforts to close transactions despite many lockdown obstacles and economic uncertainty, which further proved to me the amazing resiliency and desirability of our area’s housing market,” said Ruud, who went on to add, “No one expected us to surge past 2019 sales levels in the third and fourth quarter like we did. It’s been nothing short of remarkable. In fact, October was the top month for closed sales in 2020, with a 65 percent increase in closed sales compared to October 2019.”

Closed sales of homes priced $2 million and above outperformed all other price points tracked by NABOR® in 2020. With a notable 62.4 percent increase over 2019, Ruud said, “the luxury housing market in Naples proved to be an investment of choice in 2020.”

Looking at closed sales historically, Ruud pointed out that the desire to experience the coastal lifestyle has been growing in demand for many years as our data shows only 3,973 closed sales in 2007 compared to a whopping 12,300 closed sales in 2020.

Discussing home prices in Naples, Budge Huskey said, “while median prices in our area increased significantly [11.4 percent overall], this wasn’t out of line with what was witnessed on a national basis because NAR [National Association of Realtors®] reported that median closed prices in America went up 12 percent during 2020.”

“We have been beneficiaries of a tragic event that just accelerated real estate across the board in Florida,” he added. For perspective, Huskey added, “Average sales prices in the area rose 16.1 percent. I think all would agree that an increase of roughly $100,000 in one year in average sales price in any market is extraordinary.”

Median closed prices for single-family homes in the Naples Beach area saw the greatest leap in 2020 with an increase of 27.1 percent. “This was due to unprecedented demand in high-end real estate. These are the people who are affluent, can move quickly, had the capital, and they took advantage of it in 2020,” added Huskey.

Affirming what other presenters had already said, Huskey agreed that the second half of the year performed much better, which, according to Florida Realtor® data, resulted in a 142 percent increase in closed sales of homes over $1 million in Southwest Florida. “With active listings expected to decrease in 2021, there isn’t a reason to suggest we won’t continue to see upward pressure on prices. The good news is that we will continue to be the beneficiaries of high demand this year, with also expected higher average sales prices.”

“If there’s one thing that is kind of a harbinger of possible issues in the future, it’s inventory,” said Jeff Jones. “A year ago we had 7.2 months of supply, and at the end of 2020 we are at 3.1 months of supply. We’ve gone from a balanced market to clearly a sellers market in one year.”

Because of the popularity of single-family homes, that sector of inventory decreased 58 percent in 2020, while the condominium inventory decreased 41 percent. “The patterns of consumption are showing us that people are migrating to single family homes,” added Jones. “However, as we moved on toward the end of the year and it became very difficult to find single-family home options, people continued to want to be here so we saw condominium sales exceed single-family home sales during the fourth quarter.”

Looking at inventory over the last 10 years, Jones pointed out that despite a 57 percent decrease in inventory levels compared to 2019, there were 15,604 new listings added in 2020. “This was the third highest increase in the last 10 years. In fact, the highest number of new listings have occurred in the past three years,” noted Jones. “This tells us that we don’t have a low supply issue necessarily; what we’re facing is definitely a high demand issue.”

The NABOR® YE 2020 Market Reports provide comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall findings:

The broker panelists agreed that the Naples area housing market soared in 2020 despite the pandemic due to the appeal of the Naples area climate and lifestyle, and record low mortgage rates.

Q: How did COVID affect the 2020 market?

Adam Ruud: “A lot of things have emerged because of COVID, including how we use our homes and where we live. I think it’s enhanced the importance of homeownership.”

Jeff Jones: “Because of COVID, we have found that we can work from anywhere. This has driven a great migration to our area.”

Mike Hughes: “At the start of 2020, we had no idea that this virus was going to impact our market. Within two and half months, the market turned on a dime. On the positive side, we saw how well our industry adapted. Every year has challenges, but what really defines us is how you handle those challenges. I think the membership did a great job adapting in 2020.”

Budge Huskey: “The psychological and behavioral impact the virus had on people was significant. Faced with possible loss of loved ones and money tied up in things they couldn’t enjoy and didn’t truly impact their lives caused many people to ask, ‘What am I doing?’ It was the people who said, ‘one day, I’ll do this’, that reacted to the virus most, and it compelled those people to finally take action in 2020. The virus has people rethinking the priorities in their lives, and many felt ‘being with my family in a beautiful place rather than making more money’ was what really mattered.”

Jeff Jones: “Efforts from Florida Realtors® to get us named as an essential service at the onset of the pandemic so we could operate freely, with caution, in the market helped us tremendously in 2020. Many REALTORS® in other states did not have this opportunity.”

Q: Where did the bulk of real estate activity take place in 2020?

Budge Huskey: “This was a broad brush as every sector benefited. The higher the price, the higher the increase in sales year over year. Yet while the base of the market was strong, the high end was exceptional. We also saw an uptick in buyers from more western states like Texas, Arizona, and even Alaska last year, which is a big change from our traditional Midwest buyers.”

Jeff Jones: “New construction saved us from complete inventory meltdown in 2020. In our rural estates area, we continue to see a lot of new homes being built.”

Adam Ruud: “We only see a fraction of data from new construction, but it’s a very powerful part of our market.”

Mike Hughes: “I was surprised to see more East Coast Floridian buyers in the Ave Maria area who wanted to avoid density. But unlike other buyers, they didn’t end up working remotely, they just became commuters.”

Q: What do you think stood out in the housing market in 2020?

Budge Huskey: “What stood out for me was the first quarter. Ultimately, we are trying to figure out what ‘normal’ should be. If we look at the increase in sales in the first quarter [21 percent] that was a level of activity that was not witnessed in most other markets of the state, or for that matter, in our country. So we were off to the races before COVID hit. I feel more bullish that once we are over this – as we were witnessing a level of desirability and demand that was not necessarily artificial or accelerated – this momentum will continue.”

Mike Hughes: “It’s interesting to see how the local real estate market intertwines with the local economy. Recent headlines said furniture stores are struggling to keep up with demand. That’s just one industry. When real estate drives the economy in an area, it has a positive ripple effect. We really saw this in 2020.”

Q: What advice can you give to homebuyers and sellers in this market?

Mike Hughes: “With a tight inventory, if you’re a homebuyer you have to be prepared to move quickly. Multiple offers are happening and are not rare so going in with a lowball offer is not a good strategy. You must present a realistic offer. If you’re a cash buyer, this helps your offer and gives you a competitive advantage. For sellers, with our tight inventory, if you haven’t listed, your timing is wonderful. We’re trying to find you. Right now the stock market is at an all time high, but if this changes, real estate will always be a great investment.”

Jeff Jones: If there was ever a better time to have a relationship with a REALTOR® to help you manage your expectations in this market, now is the time. We have issues with appraisals, issues with prices on the rise, and issues with demand making inventory go down. A REALTOR® can help you understand the market we are in, help you with your needs and wants, and help you manage your expectations on how to make an offer and proceed through a contract.”

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
Jan. 25, 2021

Housing Market Demand Continues ?to Outpace Inventory in December

Search Homes For Sale in the Isles of Collier Preserve

Naples, FL (January 22, 2021) – Eager homebuyers did not waste any time in December as shown by pending sales for homes in the Naples area which leaped 88.6 percent to 1,535 pending sales (homes under contract) from 814 pending sales in December 2019. This spike in buyer interest was also reflected in the 65 percent increase in showings during December, which amounted to an average of 10 showings per listing. According to the December 2020 Market Report, released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), inventory continued to struggle to keep up with growing buyer demand. The number of available homes for sale in December 2020 decreased 49.1 percent to 3,140 homes from 6,163 homes in December 2019.

 

Overall sales in December increased 45.4 percent to 1,396 closed sales from 960 closed sales in December 2019. “As a direct result of the effects of the pandemic, 2020 was one of the first years in history where we saw more buying activity in the second half of the year than during the first half of the year,” said Mike Hughes, Vice President of Downing-Frye, Realty, Inc.

Budge Huskey, CEO, Premier Sotheby’s International Realty, added, “Historic election-year hesitancy regarding changes in administrations has not been reflected by top business leaders or the equity markets, and certainly didn’t dissuade home buying decisions in Naples during December. In fact, in the high-end market, closed sales for homes priced over $2 million increased an astounding 62.4 percent year over year.”

As months of inventory tightened in December to a very low 3.1 months of inventory, broker analysts said they are not concerned that the Naples market resembles the housing market of 2004/2005, when the market boomed, stumbled and fell. There are no signs of a decline in our market.

“The difference is that today’s home sales are not coming from investors. In today’s market, end users are purchasing homes,” said Adam Vellano, West Coast Sales Manager, BEX Realty - Florida. “Not only is the demand real, but we don’t have predatory lenders to worry about. While we expect to see home prices continue to rise, compared to other hot spots in the country, homes in Naples continue to be a great value!”

“Inventory will govern our potential moving forward,” remarked Huskey. “Based on the fundamental strength of our market, I would have thought more foreigners with second homes in the area would be selling this year since travel restrictions prohibit them from entering America, but that hasn’t happened yet.”

“Once more people get the COVID-19 vaccine, I believe we’ll begin to see sellers who were on the fence during the pandemic loosen up and begin to list their homes,” added Hughes. “But this might not be until the second half of the year.”

“Inherent in all the demand in inventory is an increase in price,” said Molly Lane, Senior Vice President William Raveis Real Estate. “Prices today are being driven by a lack of inventory.”

During December, the median closed price increased 18.2 percent to $405,000 from $342,500 in December 2019. An uptick in closed sales of high-end properties during December also drove the average closed price up 43.5 percent to $846,725 from $589,958 in December 2019. But keep in mind that even though median closed prices are rising, list price data extracted from the MLS showed only 506 properties reported a price increase compared to 321 that reported a price decrease during the month.

“People are looking for the type of resort-style living Naples can deliver,” said Spencer Haynes, Director of Business Development and Broker with John R. Wood Properties. “As such, condominium sales increased almost 50 percent during December. Inventory is more plentiful in the condominium market today, especially in the lower price ranges.”

The NABOR® December 2020 Market Reports provide comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings: 

“Inventory is a major concern for new home builders too,” Vellano pointed out. “Many planned developments typically take two to three years to be sold out. Sales are outpacing how fast they can build homes causing some developers to hold back on releasing additional homesites. At this point most, if not all, of their spec homes have been sold too.”

In periods of rapid sales and escalating prices, as is currently happening, appraisals often come in low because they are based on sales that may have occurred six months earlier, which may lower the amount of financing that can be obtained. Jeff Jones, Broker at Keller Williams Naples explained, “For instance, suppose there is a sale at $500,000 with the buyer planning to finance 80 percent of the purchase price so that they have a $400,000 mortgage. If the appraisal comes in at $480,000, then the buyer can only obtain a loan for $384,000 [80 percent of $480,000]. In this case, the buyer will need to cover the additional $16,000 in cash in order to complete the transaction. With inventory in high demand, many buyers are finding ways to cover the additional debt because the current low financing rates keep monthly payments down.”

The allure and reputation of the Naples lifestyle is driving affluent buyers to our market. The overall volume of home sales in the high-end market in Naples is higher than most other areas in Florida. As such, broker analysts predict continued heightened buyer interest and heightened buyer demand, especially in the high-end market, through the first quarter of 2021.

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
Dec. 18, 2020

Upward Trend in Naples Real Estate Market Continues

Explore Pelican Bay Properties For Sale

Naples, FL (December 18, 2020) – According to the November 2020 Market Report, released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), the Naples real estate market continues to see an upward trend in both showings and closed sales. In November 2020, there were 36,508 showings, which represents a 43 percent increase over the same period in 2019. Closed sales for the overall market increased 58.8 percent to 1,126 closed sales in November 2020, up from 709 closed sales in November 2019.

 

The sustained market demand is placing pressure on real estate pricing, with notable increases in median and average closed prices of homes when comparing month over month statistics. At $669,409, the year-to-date average closed sales price in November 2020 reflects a more accurate and modest growth with a 12.7 percent increase over November 2019 year-to-date average closed sales price of $594,065.

It is important to understand the difference between the “average” price of a home and the “median” price of a home. The “average” price is calculated by adding all the closed prices for homes sold in a specific area within a specified time frame and dividing that total by the number of properties sold. The “median” price is the price in the middle of a data set where exactly half the houses are priced for less and half are priced for more. Note: the average price may be skewed due to outliers in the data (if a property sold for a price far higher or lower than typical).

Broker analysts agree there are multiple driving forces influencing buyers. In addition to buyers coming from out of state, local homeowners are taking advantage of low interest rates and upgrading to more spacious homes and condominiums within their existing communities. Homes priced over $2,000,000 saw the strongest increase in sales, with a 51.6 percent increase in November 2020 over the same time period in 2019.

“Mortgage rates have once again dropped to a record low, with a fixed-rate average of 2.67 percent. Even though housing prices are going up and buyers are upgrading to more expensive homes, mortgage payments are going down,” said Jeff Jones, Broker at Keller Williams Realty.

Collier County continues to be among the most desirable locations in the state. “Regardless of the availability of the COVID-19 vaccine, employees are being encouraged to work remotely. This allows them to upgrade their quality of life and they are clearly choosing to live, work and play in Naples,” said Molly Lane, Senior Vice President at William Raveis Real Estate.

Mike Hughes, Vice President of Downing-Frye, Realty, Inc agreed. “Although the area’s traditional seasonal patterns have been disrupted, winter residents are continuing to arrive in the Naples area market. This is a strong indication of consumer confidence in Southwest Florida.”

“With the many uncertainties in the market, the Naples Area Board of Realtors remains a steady resource for our REALTORS®, providing access to the latest market data, industry education, legal forms, and professional guidelines,” said Corey McCloskey, VP of Operations at John R. Wood Properties, and the 2021 NABOR® President and Media Relations Committee Chair.

“Naples’ high quality of life, favorable business policies, and strong local government have always been appealing to home buyers. But we are in unprecedented times with housing demand outpacing supply,” said Dominic Pallini, Broker at Vanderbilt Realty of Naples. “First time home buyers should evaluate their options as the market grows.”

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370

Posted in Market Report
Nov. 22, 2020

Naples Real Estate Market Sees Another Record Month in Closings

Homes For Sale in the Isles of Collier Preserve

Naples, Fla. (November 20, 2020) - According to the October 2020 Market Report, released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), the Naples real estate market continues to see strong demand in both the single family and condominium markets. Buyers are getting a jump on the winter seasonal market as shown by the reduced inventory, increase in multiple bids and the jump in closed sales. Closed sales activity for the overall market increased 65.2 percent to 1,249 closed sales in October 2020 from 756 closed sales in October 2019.

Inventory continues to be a challenge for buyers seeking to purchase a home in Naples. While the overall market inventory in October 2020 decreased 33.8 percent to 3,543 from 5,351 in October 2019, overall pending sales for the same time period increased 73.0 percent to 1,708 from 987 in October 2019. With strong demand, sellers are receiving multiple competitive offers on their listings during what is a traditionally slower time of year. Offers are coming in more quickly as well, with homes sold during October 2020 staying on the market 11.5 percent fewer days than October 2019. The average number of days on the market until sale was 92 in October 2020 compared to 104 days in October 2020.

"In a typical year, October would be a time when inventory numbers rise as sellers prepare for increased demand during season," said Mike Hughes, Vice President of Downing-Frye, Realty, Inc. "However, the pandemic disrupted traditional seasonal patterns. Buyers are motivated to seek larger, more comfortable homes that accommodate their work-from-home lifestyles."

In a recent interview in Inc. magazine, Bill Gates acknowledged the nationwide, post-pandemic migration of families to bigger houses in smaller communities with less traffic. Annual market statistics support that trend is happening locally. During the period of January through October 2020, there were 9,785 closed sales in Naples, which represents a 13.8 percent increase over the same period in 2019. With more active buyers on the market, housing prices are seeing moderate but sustainable growth.

"Home pricing will likely continue to rise", said Dominic Pallini, Broker at Vanderbilt Realty of Naples. "Today's buyer is willing to pay more for the comfort and quality of life that Naples offers. "Additionally, we are seeing new construction come online in the local market, which is supporting the increased demand."

The October Market Report showed that single-family homes saw an increase in the median closed sales price of 12.1 percent to $458,000 during January to October 2020, up from $408,500 during the same period in 2019. Condominium median closed sales prices also saw an uptick of 5.8 percent to $275,000 during January to October 2020, over $260,000 during the same period in 2019.

Brenda Fioretti, Managing Broker at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Florida Realty, notes that 30.6 percent of homes on the market experienced a price increase during October. "Sellers are receiving multiple, competitive bids on their listings. So, it is important for buyers to make a serious offer when they find the right home."

The NABOR® October 2020 Market Reports provide comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings:

CATEGORIES
Oct 2019 Oct 2020 CHANGE
Total closed sales (month/month) 756 1,249 +65.2%
Total pending sales (homes under contract) (month/month) 987 1,708 +73.0%
Median closed price (month/month) $329,950 $385,000 +16.7%
Total active listings (inventory) 5,351 3,543 -33.8%
Average days on market  104 92 -11.5%
Single-family closed sales (month/month) 389 580 +49.1%
Single-family median closed price (month/month) $395,000 $523,000 +32.4%
Single-family inventory 2,675 1,501 -43.9%
Condominium closed sales (month/month) 367 624 +70.0%
Condominium median closed price (month/month) $255,000 $284,500 +11.6%
Condominium inventory 2,676 2,042 -23.7%

"Despite the uncertainty that the coronavirus pandemic has brought to the country, there are many positive trends such as low-interest rates that have continued to support the Naples real estate market and the overall economy," said Bill Coffey, Broker with Amerivest Realty. "With buyers becoming less seasonal, the market has remained stable."

If you're in the market to buy or sell your home in Southwest Florida, give me a call for assistance. I can do a market comparison and determine a fair and reasonable listing price, both with and without renovations. I can also identify properties best suited for your needs and negotiate a purchase price that fits your budget. Discover more at www.NaplesPropertyPreview.com or call Susan Sanderson at 239-821-2370.

Posted in Market Report